Indianapolis at Pittsburgh

Indianapolis has taken advantage of a mediocre schedule to start the season 7-1. Five of their wins have been against Miami, Tennessee twice, Las Vegas, and Arizona. Those teams have a combined record of 7-23. The Colts also were fortunate to beat Denver, which committed a costly penalty in the final seconds. The Colts are 2-6 ATS in their past eight games after totaling more than 350 yards in their previous game. They did allow 341 yards against the Titans last week. Pittsburgh has won 16 of the past 20 meetings with Indianapolis, and the Steelers are 7-3 ATS in their past 10 home games. Mike Tomlin is 20-7-1 ATS as a home underdog. The Steelers have gone OVER five of their past seven games, and the past five meetings have gone OVER. Pittsburgh has won five straight Week 9 games. The Colts are 6-1 OVER after scoring at least 30 points in their previous game, and they have gone OVER six of seven on the road. The Colts are 5-1 OVER following a win. Aaron Rodgers finished 24 of 36 for 219 yards and two TDs with no interceptions against Green Bay, but the defense faltered in the second half. Tomlin is 59-48 ATS off a loss. Take the Steelers and the OVER.