Indianapolis at Houston

Houston has clinched a playoff spot and can win the AFC South with a win over the Colts and a Jacksonville loss. Indianapolis has gone OVER five of seven division games, and it is 4-1 OVER after totaling fewer than 250 yards in its previous game. Philip Rivers will give way to Riley Leonard before he retires again. Rivers was 0-3 as a starter, so Leonard will get an opportunity to prove himself heading into next season. The Colts score 27.3 points per game while allowing 23.4. They have yielded an average of 31.3 points in their past four games. The Texans' defense gets most of the glory, but the offense has been better than average with 22.9 points per game overall and 30.5 in their past four home games. C.J. Stroud threw for 244 yards and two TDs in Houston's win against the Chargers last week, and the Texans totaled 362 yards of offense. Take the OVER.