2021 Season NFL Football Past Picks
December 25, 2021
This pick was released to clients on December 24, 2021 at 1:40PM ET.
Indianapolis at Arizona
Saturday 12/25 08:15 PM Eastern
1 unit on Indianapolis +102 (moneyline) (risk 1 to return 2.02) RESULT: win
1.5 units on Game Total UNDER 49 -105 (risk 1.5 to return 2.93) RESULT: win
Two teams going in different directions meet on Saturday as Indianapolis has won five of its last six games, and Arizona has lost four of seven after starting the season 7-0. The Cardinals obviously overachieved a bit earlier in the season, and teams have since learned how to defend Kyler Murray, who finished 23 of 41 for 257 yards with a touchdown and interception in Detroit's giant upset of the Cardinals last week. The defense looks suspect, also, as the Lions drove 63 yards to start the game that led to a field goal. Jared Goff picked apart the Arizona secondary, completing 21 of 26 for 216 yards and three TDs. The Colts dominated New England, and the game wasn't as close as the 27-17 final indicates. Indianapolis averages 28.4 points this season, and that is third in the league. The defense is also 15th in total yards allowed. The Cardinals have averaged barely 20 points their last five games, and they went UNDER by 6.5 points against Detroit. Arizona will have to deal with Jonathan Taylor, who has rushed for 1,854 yards, including 170 against the Patriots. The Colts are 29-12 UNDER their past 41 December games, and Arizona has stayed UNDER five of six following a loss. Play the Colts on the moneyline and the UNDER.