Houston at Tennessee

Houston only has one win but they're still playing hard for this coaching staff. The Texans covered the last two games, losing 27-23 at Dallas as a +17 dog and a 30-24 loss to Kansas City as a +14 dog. NFL road dogs like Houston after seven or more straight losses are 67-31 ATS in the second half of the season. Tennessee is banged up with a lot of injuries on a five-game losing streak. QB Ryan Tannehill will miss the rest of the season so QB Malik Willis (0 TDs, 1 INTs, 44.7% completions) has been forced in. The offense is 24th on third down (36.21%), 25th in points scored, and 28th in total yards. And the Titans are 8-21 ATS against teams that accrue 42 or fewer penalty yards per contest in the second half of the season. Play Houston.