2021 Season NFL Football Past Picks
November 07, 2021
This pick was released to clients on November 05, 2021 at 11:08AM ET.
Houston at Miami
Sunday 11/07 01:00 PM Eastern
1 unit on Houston +5.5 (-108) (risk 1 to return 1.93) RESULT: LOSS
These two 1-7 teams battle on Sunday, and Houston has the edge in getting the money as the Texans are 4-4 ATS compared to 2-5-1 ATS for Miami. Houston managed a backdoor cover after being behind 38-7 and then scoring two touchdowns and a two-point conversion while recovering an onside kick in the meantime against the Rams. The Dolphins have lost seven in a row and are 1-5-1 ATS during that stretch, and they come off a 26-11 loss at Buffalo after losing two games against Jacksonville and Atlanta. Tua Tagovailoa went 21 of 39 for 205 yards with no TDs and an interception, and Miami rushed for only 68 yards on 23 carries. Davis Mills had one of his best games yet for the Texans, completing 29 of 38 for 310 yards and 2 touchdowns with 1 pick. The Dolphins are 0-4 ATS against losing teams and shouldn't be laying this many points against anyone. Tagovailoa is questionable with a finger injury. Take the Texans.
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