2010 Season NFL Football Past Picks

October 03, 2010

This pick was released to clients on December 31, 1969 at 9:00PM ET.


Houston at Las Vegas

Sunday 10/03 04:05 PM Eastern

3 units on Game Total OVER PICK (risk 3 to return 3)  RESULT: WIN

The Houston Texans are a team built to outscore you, and they have been doing a lot of that lately. They have scored 24+ in 13 of their last 20 games. Matt Schaub has become a top NFL QB and is getting the ball out with accuracy and distance. He's averaged nearly a 70% completion rate, while going for 8.4 yards per attempt. The Texans are even more dangerous now with the emergence of Arian Foster who has already gained 406 yards in three games at nearly 6 yards a pop. Schaub already has five different receivers with a catch of over 20 yards, so they can get up and down in a hurry. The Raiders don't slow down too many teams and the result is 17 of their last 24 have seen the opponent at 20+. In their last seven posted as an underdog, the Raiders have allowed 26.1 ppg, so Houston will get some points here. Bruce Gradkowski has added some life to this Oakland offense and he should be able to find the endzone against a pourous Houston defense that is allowing 423 yards per game and a ridiculous 72.8% completion rate for opposing quarterbacks. The Texans are ranked next-to-last in the NFL in ayrds allwoed. Since Gary Kubiak has coached the Texans, they have played OVER to a 12-3 mark after a double-digit loss. I like the OVER in this one.
Texans 14 0 10 7 31
Raiders 7 7 0 10 24



Last 20.4 years

Wins Losses Units
2443 2157 +189.24

with detailed analysis