2007 Season NFL Football Past Picks
November 04, 2007
This pick was released to clients on December 31, 1969 at 9:00PM ET.
Houston at Las Vegas
Sunday 11/04 04:15 PM Eastern
3 units on Houston +3 (-110) (risk 3 to return 3) RESULT: WIN
Oakland hasn't been a favorite much in recent years. When they have laid points, they have not been kind to backers. This team is just way too unreliable on the offensive side of the ball to be favored in any game. They have had three opportunities to cash as a favorite this season and failed each time. We think they make it 0-4 on Sunday. The offensive line has yielded 22 sacks already and Daunte Culpepper has a penchant for fumbling (he holds the NFL record for the most in a season). The Raiders don't get to the QB either, and are dead last against the run (ranked #32 allowing 5.3 yards per carry). Houston is banged up, but they still have more to offer than Oakland at this stage of the season. The Raiders have lost five straight games as a favorite, are 7-18 ATS to teams with losing records, and 6-19 ATS at home last 25. The Silver and Black are also 3-13 ATS the past three seasons when the line is -3 to +3 and they are 5-14 ATS overall at home over that span! Houston has always played well after back-to- back losses, as they are 21-11 ATS in that situation. Houston is the better team, even in their banged up state, and getting 3 points is a gift we'll take.
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