Kansas City is on the brink of missing the playoffs and can't afford any more losses, while Houston is riding a four-game win streak with a margin of victory of just 4.5 points in those games. The Chiefs have won the past five meetings, including 23-14 in last year's playoffs. They have won five home games in a row this season against some tough competition, including Baltimore, Detroit, and Indianapolis. The Chiefs also had three extra days to prepare after losing to Dallas on Thanksgiving Day, while Houston beat the Colts on Sunday. Pat Mahomes was 23 of 34 for 261 yards and four TDs with no interceptions against the Cowboys. Kansas City has gone UNDER six of seven overall, and the Chiefs are 8-3 UNDER their past 11 against the AFC South. Houston leads the league in points allowed with 16.5, but the Chiefs are not far behind, yielding 19.3. The UNDER is 5-0 in Kansas City's past five games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in its previous game. The Chiefs have gone UNDER five straight following a loss, and the Texans are 4-0 UNDER after a win. Take the Chiefs on the moneyline and the UNDER.
These Pro Picks were released to clients on December 05, 2025 at 12:33PM ET.
Houston at Kansas City
December 7, 2025
2 units on Kansas City -180 (moneyline) (risk 2 to return 3.11)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
2 units on Game Total UNDER 42 -108 (risk 2 to return 3.85) Game of the Month
Result:
WIN
WIN
TAKE THE GUESSWORK OUT OF SPORTS BETTING
Get free NFL Picks
I pore over the data, injuries, news, and odds every morning.
You get the best bets delivered to your inbox.