2008 Season NFL Football Past Picks

September 28, 2008

28

Houston at Jacksonville

Sunday 09/28 01:00 PM Eastern

3 units on Houston +7 (-110) (risk 3 to return 3)  RESULT: WIN

Jacksonville found themselves in a desperate situation last week, looking down the barrel of 0-3 and on the road. They stepped up big time, and left alot on the field coming away with a last second win on a long FG. Houston, after going 8-8 last year has playoff aspirations themselves. They find themselves in the exact same spot as Jacksonville this week, so expect a big effort here from the Texans. Jacksonville will likely have a difficult time matching the intensity they played with last week, and Houston will bring everything they have. That makes the points here very attractive. Dependable Andre Johnson dropped two balls that were likely TDs last week, and Matt Schaub is likely to get better protection here. Houston has faced two good defenses in Pittsburgh and Tennessee that have 21 combined sacks, while the Jags have totaled just five. Houston's offense is much better that what we have seen. Pittsburgh and Tennessee are 2nd and 5th against the run to the Jags 19th. They are both top five against the pass, while the Jags are 26th. Houston has covered 12 of their last 15 road games following back-to-back losses. Clearly the points are there to be had for Houston, and I expect them to stay within the inflated number.

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Wins Losses Units
2396 2098 +220.38

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