2013 Season NFL Football Past Picks
December 05, 2013
This pick was released to clients on December 31, 1969 at 9:00PM ET.
Houston at Jacksonville
Thursday 12/05 08:25 PM Eastern
1 unit on Houston -3 (-115) (risk 1 to return 1) RESULT: LOSS
Has there ever before been an NFL team that owns a top-3 defense yet has lost 10 straight game? I doubt it. This week the #3 ranked Houston defense goes up against the worst offense in the entire NFL, the Jacksonville Jaguars. The Jags are the worst in terms of points per game (14.5 overall and just 6.2 per game on the road) and yards per game (285.6 overall and 252.5 on the road). So is this the week the Texans break the 10 game slide? If history is predictive, then answer would be yes. NFL teams on a seven-game losing streak or longer is 108-64-6 ATS covering about 63% of all bets since the 1989 season. The Texans covered in this role a week ago and I think they do it again tonight. Those numbers go to 33-14 ATS if they are favored or a dog of less than 11. The Texans are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 after allowing 250+ in the air in their last game, while the jags are 10-29-1 ATS in their last 30 after allowing 350+ total yards in their last game. Jacksonville is 0-5 ATS at home in their last five. Houston snaps the losing streak here and covers this short number. Go with the Texans.
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