2011 Season NFL Football Past Picks
December 22, 2011
Houston at Indianapolis
Thursday 12/22 08:25 PM Eastern
2 units on Game Total OVER PICK (risk 2 to return 2) RESULT: LOSS
The Indianapolis Colts offense has been a disaster for most of the season. Kerry Collins started the season under center and lasted three games, completing less than 50% of his passes. Curtis Painter was given a shot over the next eight games, but he threw nine INTs and wasn't much of an upgrade at all. The job was finally turned over to Dan Orlovsky and he has taken advantage of the opportunity, perhaps saving his NFL career in the process. Since he took over the Colts are 1-2 straight-up, but 3-0 ATS with Orlovsky calling signals. He has been a boost to the offense and as a result, he's somewhat of a hero for last week when he assured the Colts don't go 0-16. Another UConn product in Donald Brown ran for 161 yards last week vs. the Titans. Over the three games the Colts are averaging over 20 points per game, this after topping the 20-point mark just once all season prior to the most recent QB change. Houston showed signs of letting up last week with the division clinched, as they allowed 28 points to Cincinnati. It was the most points they had allowed since game six on their schedule by a full 9 points, so indications are the intensity of a very good defense is gone. The Texans have gone 10-3 to the OVER in their last 13 on field turf. Indianapolis is 11-5 to the OVER after allowing 15 points or less in their previous game. Ten of the last thirteen in this series have eclipsed the total. Under Gary Kubiak, the Texans are 22-12 OVER in division games and 17-4 OVER following a double-digit loss. Take the OVER in this one.