Houston at Indianapolis

Indianapolis won the first meeting, 26-20, two weeks ago in a game that was close throughout, and only two points were scored in the second half. Deshaun Watson arguably outplayed Philip Rivers as he finished 26 of 38 for 341 yards and ran for 38 yards on seven carries. The Colts cruised through a weak Las Vegas defense on Sunday in a 44-27 win, but the Colts have allowed an average of 30.7 points their last four games. The Texans look to redeem themselves after being embarrassed by the Bears, and the fact the Colts aren't bigger favorites is curious in this matchup. Houston has bounced back and covered five of its last six games after scoring fewer than 15 points its previous game, and the road team is 10-2-2 ATS the last 14 meetings. The Colts have playoff pressure to deal with while Houston is looking to continue rebuilding in the post-Bill O'Brien era and will be loosey-goosey. Grab the points with the Texans.