2017 Season NFL Football Past Picks
August 09, 2017
This pick was released to clients on August 12, 2021 at 12:03PM ET.
Houston at Carolina
Wednesday 08/09 07:30 PM Eastern
1 unit on Game Total OVER 35.5 -110 (risk 1 to return 1.91) RESULT: WIN
Houston coach Bill O'Brien has the reputation as a "Quarterback Killer" after two straight years of subpar QB play, but he's actually an imaginative offensive mind, keeping defenses guessing all the time. Last preseason, Houston won all four games scoring 24, 16, 34, and 28 points. When the games meant something, the Texans' offense struggled, but that was mainly with Brock Osweiler, who has been shipped out. There is competition this preseason with QBs Tom Savage, rookie DeShaun Watson, and mobile Brandon Weeden. Two of those three have had plenty of preseason experience, and there is plenty to work on as the Texans want to improve on trips inside their foes' 20-yard line after scoring TDs just 40.9 percent of the time in 2016. The offense has scored 27, 14, 28, 24, and 18 points in its last five preseason road games. They face a Carolina squad that has gone OVER the total in five straight Week 1 Preseason games. Backup QBs Derek Anderson and Joe Webb have ample August experience. Anderson, Webb, and Cam Newton all played in Week 1 a year ago in a game that went OVER the total, losing 22-19 to Baltimore. Two years ago in Week 1, all three played, as well in a 25-24 win over Buffalo, throwing the pigskin a combined 37 times for 264 yards, three TDs, and no picks. Play this game OVER the total.