2015 Season NFL Football Past Picks

October 04, 2015

This pick was released to clients on October 01, 2015 at 10:06PM ET.

04

Houston at Atlanta

Sunday 10/04 01:00 PM Eastern

1 unit on Houston +7 (-120) (risk 1 to return 1.83)  RESULT: LOSS

Despite a losing record, Houston has only been outscored by just four points this season. They have a ton of defensive talent and QB Ryan Mallett is settling in after leading the team to a 19-9 win last week. The defense held Tampa Bay to 318 total yards and just 1-of-12 on third down. Tampa Bay averaged 2.9 yards per carry. The Texans are on a 3-1-1 ATS run on the road, as well as 3-1-1 away against a team with a winning home record. They face a rebuilding Atlanta defense that is off to a 3-0 start. However, this defense is still a major weak spot, ranked #23 in yards allowed, #24 in pass yards, and #17 in points. Atlanta comes off a thrilling comeback win at Dallas but still allowed six yards per rush. Star WR Julio Jones will play but is not 100% with another toe injury. Meanwhile, tight end Jacob Tamme was held out again this week in practice as he goes through the NFL concussion protocol. Levine Toilolo may start for Tamme. The Falcons are 1-5 ATS at home against a team with a losing road record, plus 17-35-2 ATS after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game. This Atlanta defense will struggle to contain Houston's speedy young WR DeAndre Hopkins, who has 22 receptions for 252 yards and three scores. Take the points on Houston.

FINAL SCORE
TEAM 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q FINAL
Texans 0 0 0 21 21
Falcons 7 21 14 6 48

NFL

 

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