Green Bay at Minnesota

This is the fifth road game in seven weeks for Green Bay, not having their bye until December. The Packers are not explosive offensively by design, preferring to run the football more than in the past. The offense is #20 in total yards, #18 in passing and points, and their road games have been mostly real close, winning road games of 2, 3, and 3 points, along with losing 38-3 at New Orleans and 13-7 at Kansas City. The Vikings are 51-28 ATS against ball control teams that average 32 or more possession minutes per contest. Minnesota has a balanced offense of its own behind QB Kirk Cousins (18 TDs, 2 INTs) and RB Dalvin Cook, who is seventh in the league in total yards. The Vikings come off a 27-20 at the Chargers as a dog and are 37-20 ATS as a home underdog. Also, the dog is 9-4 ATS when these well-coached division rivals clash. Play Minnesota.