2008 Season NFL Football Past Picks

August 22, 2008

22

Green Bay at Denver

Friday 08/22 09:00 PM Eastern

2 units on Game Total UNDER 38 -105 (risk 2 to return 2)  RESULT: loss

3 units on Green Bay +3 (+100) (risk 3 to return 3)  RESULT: win

This will be a true dress rehersal for Aaron Rodgers as he should be take a lot of snaps. Rodgers looked sharp ealy in game one, but struggled last week. He should have the full forces of his offensive line here, which gave up very few sacks last year. Rodgers has gone down six times in two games thus far, but look for that to change here. One of the most underrated positions on the field is that of the center, and the Broncos will be without theirs in this one as Tom Nalen underwent knee surgery this week. The Denver running game has done nothing so far, and that will put a lot of pressure on the young Jay Cutler, who is susceptible to making bad decisions under pressure. The Packers offense has not been prolific once Rodgers steps off the field, and even with him they produced six points last week total. They'll have success here but it won't be unbridaled. The Packers gave up a lot of points last week, but mostly on big plays and a punt return. Teams that don't get in the end-zone in the preseason usually follow up with a strong performance the following week as the offense is motivated to atone for a terrible showing (yes, emotions and motivation come into play even in the preseason). Green Bay didn't show up last week and we expect that to motivate them this week. Combine that with the fact that this week will see the most signficant action from the starters from a team that went 13-3 last season, playing a 7-9 team, and we have a live dog in play. We expect the Packer first team defensive unit to play a lot here. We like the Pack and the UNDER.

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Wins Losses Units
2396 2098 +220.38

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