Green Bay at Chicago

This playoff game won't have ideal conditions for offensive football: 23 degrees, snow, and wind in Chicago on Saturday night. Green Bay's offense struggled down the stretch as the weather grew cold. The Packers have lost four in a row, averaging 17.25 points. This will also be their fourth road game in five contests, averaging 15 points in their last three away from home. How could they possibly win here against the upstart home team? Well, take a clue from the spread here. Seems like a trap, and it is. And the Packers can play defense. Green Bay's defense is 12th in yards allowed and 11th in points allowed (21.2 per game). Chicago is third in the league in rushing (144.5 yards per game), looking to control the ball and the clock, which will keep the score down and the Packers in it. Jordan Love is an elite QB, ranking in my top 5 this season, ahead of Josh Allen, Dak Prescott, and Trevor Lawrence. Caleb Williams is solid but middling, and come the playoffs, these things take on increased importance. Chicago's defense is its Achilles heel. The Bears are on a 9-4 run UNDER the total at home (6-2 UNDER this season). Take Green Bay and the UNDER.