2013 Season NFL Football Past Picks
October 13, 2013
This pick was released to clients on December 31, 1969 at 9:00PM ET.
Green Bay at Baltimore
Sunday 10/13 01:00 PM Eastern
0.5 unit on Green Bay -1 (-115) (risk 0.5 to return 0.5) RESULT: LOSS
The defending Super Bowl Champion Baltimore Ravens are off to a 3-2 start, after losing a lot of key players from last year's team. Joe Flacco came of age last year, and was a huge factor in the Ravens' success. But after signing a big contract, Flacco is off to a slow start. Flacco has thrown just 5 TD passes, and has 8 INTs through the five games. We were on Flacco and the Ravens last week against an overrated Miami team. It worked out. But this week they face much stiffer competition. The Packers redeemed an ugly loss last week by beating the Lions 22-9, in their best defensive effort of the season. It seems like the Packers used their bye to straighten out some things on defense. Yet, they are still under the radar. No one is talking much about the Packers right now and all the quarterback talk is about Luck, Wilson, Kaepernick, Brees and of course Payton Manning. That's exactly what fires up Aaron Rogers. Rogers has seemed to save his best for the teams that see him the least, as he has thrown 29 TDs to 11 INTs vs. AFC teams. And, Green Bay has stepped-up their level of play vs. winning teams where they are 14-5 ATS in their last 19. Green Bay has also dominated this series with a 4-1 ATS mark against the Ravens over the last five meetings. Under Mike McCarthy, GB is 51-33 ATS as a favorite and 37-25 ATS on the road. Lay the small price on the Pack here.
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