2015 Season NFL Football Past Picks

December 27, 2015

27

Green Bay at Arizona

Sunday 12/27 04:25 PM Eastern

1 unit on Game Total UNDER 51 -105 (risk 1 to return 1.95)  RESULT: WIN

The Green Bay Packers may be 10-4 and on their way to the playoffs, but this team continues to struggle even with Mike McCarthy back calling the plays. They were extremely fortunate to win in Detroit on a Hail Mary, and were fortunate to come away with a win in Oakland last week. The Packers got a pick-six and another interception deep in Oakland territory for 14 of their 30 points. The offense generated just 293 total yards, a continued problem. The Packers may be the only 10-4 team in NFL history being out-gained from the line of scrimmage. The one good thing for Green Bay is the defense. The Packers may give up a lot of yards, but they are allowing just 18.9 points per game, which is 1.5 points away from the first-ranked Bengals. The Arizona defense isn't far behind as they allow 19.2 ppg on the season, so I'm a bit surprised at the high total. Here is an eye-opener to that regard: Since the 1989 season, when a pair of teams clash that both allow fewer than 20 ppg on the season, the average total points scored is 40.2. I know that includes a lot of games when scoring was not as it is today, but when you consider the games played from just 2012 forward it is still just 43.1. Take the UNDER.

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