2009 Season NFL Football Past Picks
November 08, 2009
This pick was released to clients on December 31, 1969 at 9:00PM ET.
Detroit at Seattle
Sunday 11/08 04:05 PM Eastern
4 units on Game Total UNDER 42 -110 (risk 4 to return 4) RESULT: LOSS
The Lions are a limited team to begin with and have few offensive weapons. The ones they do have are all battling injuries and they just don't have the depth to overcome any of it. This is why they are averaging just 16.1 points per game on the season. The last two weeks their offense has been especially bad, having managed just 10 points - scoring all those 10 vs. a St. Louis Rams’ defense that is only equipped to stop the weakest of offenses. They now face a Seattle defense that, while overmatched against the likes of Dallas, Arizona and Indianapolis (allowing 33 ppg in the three), are very tough against the weaker and less versatile offenses. They own a pair of shutouts over Jacksonville and St. Louis, completely dominating those teams. The Seattle offense has not been dominating anyone, having topped the 23-point mark in just two of their last 16 games. Looking at a total here at this level is definitely set too high. The Lions are likely to be shutdown offensively, and the Seahawks just haven't shown the ability to get out of the low 20s against anyone. As an NFL head coach, Jim Mora Jr. is 22-9 to the UNDER as a favorite. This one goes UNDER the total.