2015 Season NFL Football Past Picks

December 21, 2015

21

Detroit at New Orleans

Monday 12/21 08:30 PM Eastern

1.5 units on Game Total OVER 51.5 -105 (risk 1.5 to return 2.93)  RESULT: WIN

This is an indoor game featuring two strong quarterbacks and two lousy defenses. Detroit is #28 in the NFL defensively in points allowed (25.8 points per game) and faces a high octane Saints offense. The Lions are 8-2 OVER the total against a team with a losing home record. At least Detroit can throw the football when they fall behind (which will be early) with QB Matt Stafford (24 TDs, 13 INTs), WR Calvin Johnson (981 yards), and WR Golden Tate. They got run over by the Rams last week, and the OVER is 25-11 after Detroit allows more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game. The Lions are also 15-5 OVER after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their last contest. They face a New Orleans offense that is loaded, scoring 24 and 38 the last two contests. New Orleans is #4 in the NFL in yards on offense and #11 in points. QB Drew Brees  (25 TDs, 11 INTs) threw a pair of touchdown passes to Marques Colston to help New Orleans top the Bucs, 24-17. The Saints converted 12 of their 17 third downs, but can New Orleans stop anybody? The Saints are third-worst in the NFL at defending the pass surrendering 278.8 yards per game, #31 in total yards allowed, and dead last giving up 30.5 points per game. They are still using Brandon Browner at cornerback, which is a mistake as he was the worst free agent signing in the offseason. He can't cover and is good for a few pass interference penalties per game -- sometimes even per drive! Play this one OVER the total.




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