2021 Season NFL Football Past Picks
November 21, 2021
This pick was released to clients on November 19, 2021 at 1:29PM ET.
Detroit at Cleveland
Sunday 11/21 01:00 PM Eastern
2 units on Detroit +13 (-105) (risk 2 to return 3.9) RESULT: win
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 44 -108 (risk 1 to return 1.93) RESULT: win
Detroit was a missed extra point away from getting its first win of the season before ending the game in a 16-16 tie against the Steelers. The Lions found a running game, and that will be important as Jared Goff is playing through injuries. He wasn't very effective up to this point anyway. De'Andre Swift rushed for 130 yards against Pittsburgh, and the Lions actually improved to 5-4 ATS. Cleveland hit rock bottom in a 45-7 loss at New England, and QB Baker Mayfield has serious shoulder and knee injuries, but he says he will play this week. The Browns probably would be better off with a healthy Case Keenum, but it still wouldn't matter if the Browns defense plays as it did on Sunday, allowing 452 total yards. Nick Chubb is likely to be back this week after missing last week's game due to COVID-19 protocol. Cleveland has lost four of its last six games and is 2-5 ATS in its last seven home games. Detroit has gone UNDER six of its last seven games, and Cleveland is 5-1 UNDER its last six versus losing teams. The Lions have bounced back to be 4-0 ATS after allowing at least 350 total yards their previous game and the Browns are 1-11 ATS their last 12 after recording fewer than 250 yards their previous game. Play the Lions ATS for a Max Play and the UNDER.