Denver at Buffalo

The Buffalo Bills last made the playoffs 18 years ago, so they are obviously not a favorite of bettors. They are knocking on the door however, as they have had a 24-24 SU record the last 3 years, their best 3 year record since last making the playoffs. They have a tough challenge in this one at home as they have to face the 2-0 Denver Broncos, who are off to a 2-0 start. They may be catching Denver at the right time, as the Broncos are over-valued now after a big win as a home dog vs the Dallas Cowboys. Teams such as the Broncos tend to suffer a letdown in this situation, as all teams in the NFL that won last week as a home dog, and are now a road favorite are a woeful 42-59 ATS if they have a better record than their opponent. Bills despite not having good teams, are 13-6 ATS as a home dog since 2011, and have won 11 SU. They are also 10-4 ATS if the line is +4 or less. Make the play on Buffalo.