Denver at Buffalo

Denver is an excellent team with a great coach and is undervalued in this playoff game. Coach Sean Payton liked QB Bo Nix (29 TDs, 12 INTs) back in August and was right, as the kid never played like a rookie. He has more TD passes than sacks (24). The offense is 10th in points (25 per game), the defense is third in points given up, 11th on third down, third in the red zone, and seventh in yards allowed. The Broncos are on an 11-4 ATS run. Buffalo relies on QB Josh Allen to do it all, and he often does, but this Denver defense matches up well with a great pass rush, leading the NFL with 63 sacks. Buffalo's defense is 29th on third down (43.78%), 16th in the red zone, and 17th in yards allowed. Play Denver.