This pick was released to clients on December 01, 2022 at 6:14AM ET.
img NFL

Denver at Baltimore

December 4, 2022
img1:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 39.5 -109 (risk 1 to return 1.92)
Result:
WIN

Denver's defense is third in the NFL in yards given up, points surrendered (17.6 pg), and on third down (32.6%). The Broncos are on a 10-1 UNDER the total, as well as 11-3 UNDER as a dog. The biggest problem is an anemic offense that is last in scoring (14.3 ppg) and on third down (37.50%). Baltimore's defense is second vs. the rush and on third down (32.56%), plus 12th in points surrendered (20.6 pg). The Ravens have a run-first offense that chews up yards and the clock, ranking second in the league in rushing (162.7 ypg) with the seventh-worst passing attack. They're also second in the NFL in time of possession (32:20). QB Lamar Jackson should play but has been limited in practice with a quad injury. And Baltimore is 44-26 UNDER the total after outrushing an opponent by 100+ yards in the last game. I've taken a more detailed look at the struggles this Broncos offense has endured in a second NFL newsletter that will be hitting your inbox shortly. For now, take Denver/Baltimore UNDER the total. 

FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Denver Broncos
3
3
3
0
9
Baltimore Ravens img
0
3
0
7
10
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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