2008 Season NFL Football Past Picks

August 29, 2008

This pick was released to clients on December 31, 1969 at 9:00PM ET.

29

Denver at Arizona

Friday 08/29 10:00 PM Eastern

3 units on Denver +3 (+100) (risk 3 to return 3)  RESULT: WIN

While no other coach amongst current NFL coaches has won as many as 30 preseason games, Coach Shanahan has now won 40. His 40-19 record ATS in these games shows a mindset a bit different than most coaches that put their teams on the field here. While most coaches use week 4 to heal injuries, and field what amounts to a taxi squad, Shanahan is actually best (for us) in week 4 where his teams have posted an impressive 9-2 ATS mark. For Arizona coach Ken Wisenhunt the outcome here has not been so important. His teams are now 2-5, and we don't expect to see much from the Cardinals in this one. Backing coaches like that in the favorite role is a quick way to the poorhouse. The Broncos are always a good choice here under Shanahan, especially in week 4. We faded them successfully last week as we expected an inspired effort from Green Bay. The fact that the Broncos lost, at home, is even more reason to like them to bounce back here, getting 3 points. Over the past fifteen years, this Broncos team is 13-2 ATS off an upset loss in the preseason! They are 7-0 ATS during that span off a loss at home. We'll back the Broncs to come out fighting and win this game.
FINAL SCORE
TEAM 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q FINAL
Broncos 3 7 0 18 28
Cardinals 0 14 0 0 14

NFL

 

Last 20.4 years

Wins Losses Units
2443 2157 +189.24

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