2014 Season NFL Football Past Picks

November 09, 2014

This pick was released to clients on November 06, 2014 at 5:56PM ET.


Dallas vs. Jacksonville

Sunday 11/09 01:00 PM Eastern

1 unit on Dallas -7 (-110) (risk 1 to return 1.91)  RESULT: WIN

There are some issues with Tony Romo's back as he has a pair of small fractures. But, he did practice Thursday, is listed as probable, and all indications are that he will get the start. I don't think it will much matter as Jacksonville is horrible and Dallas is surely going to give a heavy load to DeMarco Murray, who is on a record-breaking pace with 1,133 yards through nine games. Jacksonville has allowed their last two opponents to rush for 339 yards on 59 carries at 5.6 yards per rush. The Jags have simply have had no offense for several years and this season is no different. The modern day NFL is based on scoring, but this is a team that has scored more than 17 points in just seven of its last 26 games. That will make things difficult for Jacksonville as Dallas owns a 131-45-3 ATS mark when they hold an opponent to 17 points or fewer. Couple that with a closer in the backfield, and the Cowboys certainly look like a strong valued choice for their game in England. Jacksonville overall is just 8-20-2 ATS in their last 30 games, and the Romo issue is holding the line down, but the Dallas offense shouldn't need much from the passing game. Lay the points on Big D.

Cowboys 10 14 7 0 31
Jaguars 7 0 0 10 17



Last 20.4 years

Wins Losses Units
2443 2157 +189.24

with detailed analysis