Dallas at New York

The Dallas defense has improved under first-year coordinator Dan Quinn. They are #12 in points allowed (22.1 per game) and No. 1 in the NFL on third down (30.86%). On the road, they are giving up just 21.3 points per game. But, their offense has shown uncharacteristic struggles. On the road this season, the Cowboys are managing just 23.9 points per game. NFL winning teams like Dallas that are off of a road win against a division rival are 32-13 UNDER the total when facing losing teams. The Cowboys have gone UNDER the total in six of the last seven games and catch a break here against a bad New York Giants offense that is #24 in total yards, #25 in rushing, #26 in points (17.8 per game), and #23 on third down. QB Daniel Jones (neck) will sit while backup QB Mike Glennon (three TDs and four INTs) will start. New York is on a 20-7 run UNDER the total, including 11-2 UNDER at home. This is a lot of points, given that the Giants defense is stout, allowing just 18 points per game at home this season. Dallas is just 8-19 ATS in their last 27 road games when favored in this range (7.5 to 14 points). Take New York ATS and the UNDER the total.