2010 Season NFL Football Past Picks

December 05, 2010

This pick was released to clients on December 31, 1969 at 9:00PM ET.

05

Dallas at Indianapolis

Sunday 12/05 04:15 PM Eastern

4 units on Game Total UNDER PICK (risk 4 to return 4)  RESULT: LOSS

It is becoming apparent that Peyton Manning is getting frustrated. His receiving corp has been beset by injuries and the Colts running game has been grounded. The "master" has looked quite pedestrian this year having thrown seven INT's in his last two games and the Colts offense has gone nine games without scoring more than 30 points. Let's put that into perspective. Going back to the 2003-04 season (covering 123 games), the Colts have not gone more than four games without topping the 30 mark. The significance here is they are still playing to high posted totals and this one is more reflective of the past than what is happening on the field now. This Indy offense in its prime went 50-20 to the UNDER in their last 50 games posted at 47.5 or higher. Now they are not nearly as good, so the value is clearly on the UNDER here. After giving up 36 points last game, you can bet the Colts defense will be out to prove something here. The same goes for Dallas' defense that allowed 30 last week. The COlts are 12-3 UNDER the past three seasons following a game in which 50+ points were scored. I think this one is going the same way - UNDER.
FINAL SCORE
TEAM 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q OT FINAL
Cowboys 10 7 10 8 3 38
Colts 0 7 7 21 0 35

NFL

 

Last 20.4 years

Wins Losses Units
2443 2157 +189.24

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