Dallas at Baltimore

Dallas has split its last two games, including a 31-28 win at Minnesota as a +7 dog. The last two times they've been an underdog, they covered, including a 24-19 defeat to Pittsburgh as a +14 dog. The Cowboys are just one game out of first place in the NFC East. Dallas is 21-8 ATS on the road after a loss by 14+ points, as well as 12-3 ATS away after allowing 175+ rushing yards the last game. Baltimore has a losing record at home and is riding a 1-4 SU, 2-3 ATS run overall. QB Lamar Jackson might play, one of 10 players on the team's COVID-19 list after being sidelined since Thanksgiving. If Jackson isn't cleared, QB Trace McSorley will be forced to make his first NFL start with rookie QB Tyler Huntley as the backup. The Ravens are 8-19 ATS at home against defenses that surrender 375+ total yards per game, so back the big dog in a close one. Play Dallas.