2008 Season NFL Football Past Picks
October 12, 2008
This pick was released to clients on December 31, 1969 at 9:00PM ET.
Dallas at Arizona
Sunday 10/12 04:15 PM Eastern
5 units on Arizona +6 (-115) (risk 5 to return 5) RESULT: WIN
The Cowboys, winners of 13 games a year ago, are on their way to another big season. But big seasons aren't without a speed bump here and there. I really expect them to encounter one this week. The Cowboys seem to be the darlings of the odds-makers, as witnessed by last week's 17 point opening line at home vs Cincinnati. We cashed in on Cincy last week fading the Boys and this week we like the Cowboys fade even more! It's actually not just the odds-makers getting drunk on Dallas, it's the public's love for high scoring teams with a high profile QB. To add to it, it doesn't hurt that there is a star on the helmet - America's team right? Arizona is ready to say something about that. Kurt Warner has gotten all negative exposure this season. When he squared off with Brett Favre, who is a story a minute, he was seen fumbling four times and getting picked off three others. Quietly, Warner has not fumbled in any other game, and has just one interception in his other four games! The Cards, behind Warner, are averaging 29 points per game! While clearly the class of the NFL right now, the Cowboys have not been the team they looked like out of the gate a year ago. Versus teams that have gone on to be just 5-14 on the season, they have looked average. They lost to the only team with a winning record at home, struggled last week vs Cincinnati at home, and needed a second half comeback to defeat the Eagles. The public is giving them a pass on all of these transgressiosn thus far. But, this will be a tough test on the road. Arizona is a GREAT home team and I like them to at least cover, giving them a very good chance to win this game outright.