2019 Season NFL Football Past Picks

The Cleveland Browns and the San Francisco 49ers are a pair of teams on the rise. This will be a good test for each team. I'm not as impressed with Baker Mayfield as most are. He is wildly inconsistent and overall his numbers would rank him 28th in the league as a QB. San Francisco, behind the play-action strong offense of Coach Shannahan and QB Jimmy Garappolo, has been strong. Garappolo has the second most play-action pass attempts in the league where he completes 85.7% of his passes at 15.4 yards per attempt. The Niners use play-action on 36% of all dropbacks at 9.9 yards per pass. There are many favorables in this game for the Niners: A Monday Night favorite off a win and 14 days rest is 12-0-1 ATS. Also, Monday Night home teams greater than .800 vs. a team .500 or better with a line from -2.5 to -9 and a total greater than 37 are 33-5-3 ATS. I think there is a strong probability the Niners win this one. Make the play on San Francisco on the moneyline.