2004 Season NFL Football Past Picks

October 10, 2004

This pick was released to clients on July 10, 2012 at 3:43PM ET.

10

Cleveland at Pittsburgh

Sunday 10/10 01:00 PM Eastern

2 units on Cleveland +6 (-110) (risk 2 to return 3.82)  RESULT: loss

2 units on Cleveland +220 (moneyline) (risk 2 to return 6.4)  RESULT: loss

Rookie Ben Roethlisberger (did I spell that right?) has been a pleasent surprise, going 2-0 since replacing Tommy Maddox. That's part of the reason Cleveland is getting nearly a touchdown in this matchup. But who has he played? For that matter, who have the Steelers played all season? Their three victories have come against teams with a combined record of 3-9. In the one game vs. a winning team, the Steelers lost by 17 points to Baltimore, allowing 30 points to a low-scoring offense. Also, part of Pitt's success has been due to good fortune. They've already forced 11 turnovers - nearly half as many as they forced all last year! That kind of luck doesn't continue forever. In October games, underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points cover the spread 7 out of ten times when facing a team off three games in which they covered two. I like Cleveland to scrap in this game and keep it close.

NFL

 

Last 20.4 years

Wins Losses Units
2443 2157 +189.24

Premium Picks Available Now

Get FREE NFL PICKS
with detailed analysis