2017 Season NFL Football Past Picks
December 31, 2017
This pick was released to clients on December 31, 2021 at 3:15PM ET.
Cleveland at Pittsburgh
Sunday 12/31 01:00 PM Eastern
1 unit on Cleveland +10.5 (-110) (risk 1 to return 1.91) RESULT: win
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 38 -110 (risk 1 to return 1.91) RESULT: loss
The Browns have had to listen all week of talk of their 0-15 season and maybe joining the 0-16 Detroit Lions of 2008 in NFL infamy. Cleveland will be motivated to try to get a win, as will coach Hue Jackson with his job on the line. The Browns have talent on defense at seventh in the NFL against the run and #19 against the pass. Cleveland will lean on that defense and look for ball control on offense to keep this game close, which will keep the score down. The weather Sunday in Pittsburgh won't be fun for the offenses, coming in at around 15 degrees. The Browns are 19-7 UNDER the total on natural grass, 18-6 UNDER against winning teams, and 36-12-3 UNDER in December. Pittsburgh isn't sure if their starters will play much. They technically can get the top seed in the AFC, but that would mean the Jets would have to upset the Patriots. They wrapped up an AFC first-round playoff bye with their victory against Houston last week. The Steelers' defense is one of the best in the NFL, fourth in yards allowed, Top 10 against the run, and fifth in points surrendered (18.9 points per game). The Steelers are on a 37-18 run UNDER the total, including 21-7 versus losing teams. The first meeting was a close defensive game in great weather, a 21-18 Steelers victory, part of a 5-1 run UNDER when these rivals meet. Look for a similar final score in the freezing cold. Take Cleveland and the UNDER.
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