2007 Season NFL Football Past Picks
December 09, 2007
This pick was released to clients on December 31, 1969 at 9:00PM ET.
Cleveland at New York
Sunday 12/09 04:15 PM Eastern
5 units on New York +3.5 (-115) (risk 5 to return 5) RESULT: LOSS
Is Cleveland really that much better than the Jets? We think not. The Browns right now remain overrated while New York is underrated, even after their big win. They aren't getting credit for the big win because it came against the winless Dolphins. But, what more can you ask than a 40-13 road win? The Jets must be feeling good after that win. Nothing keeps a team together during a bad season than a win. Kellen Clemens got another game under his belt and the confidence that can only come from winning real NFL games. The fact is, this Jets team is much better than it's 3-9 record would dictate. They have two big losses, one to the best team in the NFC (Dallas) and the other to the best team in the AFC (New England). They have been extremely competitive in the other ten games, getting outscored by a total of 15 points over the 10 games, or just 1.5 ppg! Cleveland comes in 7-5 with playoff aspirations. But this is not that good of a team. It has taken some very good bounces to achieve that 7-5 mark. They got the right bounce in Baltimore to steal one in OT and did the same vs Seattle. They could be 5-7, and this game would look much different. The fact is, the Browns are actually getting out-scored on the season, and for the first time this season, they have seen a decline in points scored over two consecutive weeks. They rank dead last in team defense in both yards allowed and points allowed, and they have not been able to stop anyone on the ground or in the air. They not only have been out-scored, but have been outgained by 30 yards per game. Yet they are favored on the road - hmmmm. Folks, that just aint right! The Browns are being out-scored by 3 points per game on the road and have managed just two road wins all season. The Jets have now beaten a good team in Pittsburgh, and annihalated a bad one in Miami in the last three weeks. They certainly haven't quit. We like the Jets here to perhaps spring the upset, and get the outright win, but will grab the points with a live dog.
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