2011 Season NFL Football Past Picks
October 16, 2011
This pick was released to clients on December 31, 1969 at 9:00PM ET.
Cleveland at Las Vegas
Sunday 10/16 04:05 PM Eastern
3 units on Game Total OVER PICK (risk 3 to return 3) RESULT: LOSS
The Raiders are a vastly-improved team this season and have a legitimate shot to make the playoffs. What most people forget is that this team scored 155 points in their last five games a year ago. Through five games this season, the Silver and Black have amassed 136 points for 27.2 points per game despite facing four teams with winning records on the season. That puts the Raiders at 291 points in their last 10 or 29.1 ppg. The problem is that over the same 10-game period the defense has allowed 24.8 ppg, so the Raiders are getting involved in a lot of shootouts. Cleveland's defense is suspect and I can't see them holding down the Raiders. The Browns have been a lot more aggressive on offense after a loss where they are now 9-2 to the OVER in their last 11 games, which includes seven of their last nine to the OVER vs. a winning team. This season has been ultra-high scoring and when the total has been set at 44.5 or less, all games have gone 30-14 to the OVER this season or over 67% of the time. This one tops the total as well.
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