2015 Season NFL Football Past Picks

December 27, 2015

This pick was released to clients on December 26, 2015 at 11:58AM ET.


Cleveland at Kansas City

Sunday 12/27 01:00 PM Eastern

1 unit on Cleveland +11 (-110) (risk 1 to return 1.91)  RESULT: WIN

The Chiefs have jumped the Shark. While going largely unnoticed for much of their eight-game winning streak, they are unnoticed no more. As a result, they are getting overvalued by oddsmakers with huge point spreads now. The Chiefs have a conservative offense even with star RB Jamaal Charles out for the season. The weather for Sunday's game will not help either offense, as it will be close to freezing with light rain and 15-20 MPH winds. Kansas City has lost two games at home and they face a Cleveland team that has been competitive down the stretch of this lost season. In the last four games they should have beaten the Ravens, scoring 27 points but losing on a fluke blocked kick in OT. The Browns also routed the 49ers, 24-10. Cleveland has had to face some very tought teams recently as in their last nine games they had to play Cincinnati twice, Denver, Arizona, Pittsburgh and Seattle. So no wonder they have been losing. Browns quarterback Johnny Manziel (7 TDs, 4 INTs) has reclaimed the starting job and is actually throwing well, showing a lot of improvement from his rookie campaign. His mobility (122 rushing yards) will help in this one against the KC defense in the wind and rain. Browns TE Gary Barnidge (930 yards) is a strong target for Manziel and needs 70 receiving yards to join Ozzie Newsome and Kellen Winslow Jr. as the only tight ends in franchise history with 1,000-yard receiving seasons. The Browns are 7-3-1 ATS after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game, so jump on the big dog. Play the Browns on this inflated number.

Browns 0 3 7 3 13
Chiefs 10 7 0 0 17



Last 21.0 years

Wins Losses Units
2492 2198 +198.88

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