Cleveland at Cincinnati

Cleveland may be winless but they've been playing hard for this coaching staff, dropping three games by three points. After playing three of the last four at home the Browns make a short road trip still in their home state. Cleveland's defense is eighth in the NFL in yards allowed, sixth against the run allowing 91.7 yards per game. The Browns are 38-14 UNDER the total after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game, plus 42-17-2 UNDER after getting less than 250 total yards the last contest. They face a Cincinnati squad that has dropped three of five. And one of those wins was 24-23 at home against the Colts as a 10-point favorite. The Bengals are home after a rugged three-game trip, at Jacksonville, Tennessee and Denver, scoring 7, 20 and 20 points. Those games were all in a row in November, so this is their first home game of the month and Coach Marvin Lewis is 9-18 ATS after a two-game road trip. They've also played six of the last eight away from home. Cincinnati has been terrible on offense, last in the NFL in total yards, last in rushing with 68 yards per game, and #29 in scoring (16.9 ppg). Their top running backs average 2.9 and 3.1 yards per carry! The Bengals are on a 13-5 run UNDER the total, 21-8 UNDER against the AFC and 35-17-1 UNDER after a spread cover. The road team has covered five of the last seven between these division rivals and the UNDER has cashed six of the last seven, so look for a defensive duel and the big dog to keep it close. Play Cleveland and the  UNDER.