Cleveland at Cincinnati

Cleveland's new QB Deshaun Watson didn't look sharp in his first game with 131 yards, no TDs, and one pick. It was his first game in 700 days. The Browns went 4-of-13 on third down and rank 20th in the league on third down. The Browns' defense is seventh in the NFL on third down and has allowed 31 total points in the last two games. Cleveland is 67-44 UNDER the total in December contests. Cincinnati's defense is 12th in the league in yards surrendered and 13th in points given up (21.3 pg). And the Bengals are 79-52 UNDER the total against teams that average 350+ yards per game. Take Cleveland/Cincinnati UNDER the total.