2015 Season NFL Football Past Picks

October 11, 2015

11

Cleveland at Baltimore

Sunday 10/11 01:00 PM Eastern

1 unit on Baltimore -6.5 (-110) (risk 1 to return 1.91)  RESULT: LOSS

The Cleveland Browns can usually rely on their defense at home where it tends to respond better. However, so far through four games of a schedule that one would consider elite offenses, the 25.5 points per game they are allowing is simply not getting it done. After an 0-3 start and looking down the barrel of 0-4 playing on the road at Pittsburgh, Baltimore came away with a hard-fought win, and look to build upon that at home. QB Joe Flacco has a superlative record at home under center for the Ravens, guiding his team to a 35-8 SU record, winning on average by 8.3 ppg. He has also shredded this Cleveland defense and owns a 13-1 SU mark against the Browns in his career, with a 9-5 ATS mark to go with it. Flacco's margin of victory over the Browns has been greater than 10 ppg. Cleveland QB Josh McCown has not had any success at all in the last five years, as he is 5-20 SU as a starter, and just 8-17 ATS. His team has been out-scored by over 10 points per game on the road when he is under center. The Ravens marker for success has come following a game where they ran for better than 150 yards as they are 7-2-1 ATS after doing so. They are also 19-10 ATS as a home favorite of a TD or less under John Harbaugh. Lay the points on Baltimore.



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