Cincinnati at New Orleans

Defending AFC Champion Cincinnati has turned things around winning two of three. The defense was outstanding last season on the way to the Super Bowl and is in fine form again allowing 12, 15, and 19 points over the last three games. They come off a 19-17 loss at Baltimore and all three of their defeats have been by field goals on the final play. QB Joe Burrow (9 TDs, 5 INTs) and WRs Ja'Marr Chase and Tee Higgins lead the 12th-best passing attack, while the defense is Top 10 in the NFL on third down, in points allowed, and against the run. Cincinnati is on a 19-10 spread run on the road, plus 17-6 ATS against teams that pass for 235+ yards per game. The New Orleans defense is #24 in points surrendered (25.6 pg) and #16 in yards allowed, while QBs Jameis Winston and Andy Dalton have combined for 6 TDs and 6 interceptions. The Saints come off of a 39-32 win over Seattle to break a three-game skid and are 2-10 ATS after a game where 50+ total points were scored. They're also 15-31 ATS at home after allowing 6.5 or more yards per play. Play Cincinnati.