2008 Season NFL Football Past Picks

August 28, 2008

28

Cincinnati at Indianapolis

Thursday 08/28 07:00 PM Eastern

3 units on Cincinnati +3 (-105) (risk 3 to return 3)  RESULT: WIN

It is quite clear that Indianapolis coach Tony Dungy has no interest in winning preseason games. After all he and his team have accomplished, winning is nothing here. Instead, he likes to use it to evaluate players, while keeping key players as healthy as possible. Dungy has a 10-19 ATS record in there games and there is no reason to expect his mindset to change here. He is the only coach in the last 12 years to have a team go 0-5 in the preseason (in 2005) and the Colts went on to a 14-2 season. The Colts will not only be without Manning for this one, but backup Jim Sorgi has a bad knee and may not play either. The Colts tally in the preseason is now 3-15 over the last 18 games. With prominent week 3 injuries to key players around the league covering the newspapers and dominating the airwaves, we expect Dungy to remain quite conservative. Coming off a big goosegg on offense last week, we look for Cincinnati to care a bit more about scoring here than you might normally expect. This isn't necessarily a pro Bengals pick, but rather a bet on a Colts no-show, getting over a field goal to boot.

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