2016 Season NFL Football Past Picks

October 09, 2016

This pick was released to clients on October 08, 2021 at 1:09PM ET.


Cincinnati at Dallas

Sunday 10/09 04:25 PM Eastern

1 unit on Cincinnati -1 (-115) (risk 1 to return 1.87)  RESULT: loss

1 unit on Game Total OVER 45 -105 (risk 1 to return 1.95)  RESULT: loss

Cincinnati had three extra days to prepare for this matchup after its 22-7 win over Miami last Thursday night. Linebacker Vontaze Burfict returned after serving a suspension and was active against Miami. Andy Dalton was 22-of-31 for 296 yards with a touchdown and no interceptions and was sacked only once. A.J. Green had 10 catches for 173 yards and a touchdown. The Bengals defense sacked Ryan Tannehill five times against a depleted Miami offensive line. Dallas came back from a 14-0 deficit to beat San Francisco 24-17 as rookie Dak Prescott continued to impress in completing 23-of-32 for 245 yards and no picks. The Cowboys outyarded the 49ers 428-295 and another rookie, Ezekiel Elliott, rushed for 138 yards on 23 carries. The Cowboys are second in the NFL in total yards per game and the Bengals are #11. Cincy has the edge on defense as it is ranked ninth in total yards allowed and the Cowboys are #18. The Bengals have covered the spread seven games in a row on the road against NFC East teams and nine of their last 10 road games overall. Also, Cincinnati is 14-5-2 ATS its last 21 games overall. Dallas is 5-13-1 ATS at home since 2014 and the Cowboys have covered just two of their last eight after an ATS win. The Bengals are 8-1 OVER when they are favorites of four or fewer points. Dalton and his offensive line are coming off their best game of the year, so play the Bengals and the OVER.

Bengals 0 0 0 14 14
Cowboys 7 14 7 0 28



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