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2011 Season NFL Football Past Picks

September 11, 2011


Cincinnati at Cleveland

Sunday 09/11 01:00 PM Eastern

2 units on Cincinnati PICK () (risk 2 to return 2)  RESULT: WIN

Cleveland fans are fired up for this year, but this team has a terrible track record of being prepared coming out of preseason as the Browns are 1-10-1 ATS in their last 12 games in week one. They have a lot of work to do and new things to learn, too, as the team has a new coaching staff with Pat Shurmur and Dick Jauron as the new defensive coordinator. Jauron is replacing Rob Ryan, who did what he could last season trying to mask a lot of flaws. In the end, the Browns finished last season No. 22 in total defense and No. 26 against the run. They are switching from a 3-4 to 4-3 defense and the personnel really doesn't look much better. The offensive line was a problem in preseason. Left guard Eric Steinbach is still nursing a back injury and out. Steinbach's absence enabled the Browns to force-feed rookie Jason Pinkston with the No. 1 unit. Pinkston has responded well enough for the Browns to commit to him to open the season, but right guard Shawn Lauvao played sparingly as a rookie, which means two untested guards are in the starting lineup. The Browns were moderately successful as a running team last year, but the new coach aired it out a lot in preseason, so there are philosophical changes on offense. The Browns are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games as a favorite and when these division rivals met last season there were two dogfights, 23-20 (Browns) and 19-17 (Bengals). The Bengals are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall and 4-1 ATS in their last five games in September. Cincy has won three of the last four meetings and the underdog is 7-1 ATS in their last eight meetings. The public is all over the Browns and that spells value on the Bengals here. Play the Bengals.



Last 20.0 years

Wins Losses Units
2322 2038 +202.55

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