2008 Season NFL Football Past Picks
November 16, 2008
Chicago at Green Bay
Sunday 11/16 01:00 PM Eastern
3 units on Chicago +3.5 (-110) (risk 3 to return 3) RESULT: LOSS
The Bears and the Packers, heated division rivals, enter a big game for both in the NFC North. Chicago is tied with Minnesota for the lead at 5-4, while the Packers sit one game out at 4-5. The Packers come into this one just 2-5 against teams with winning records, which has to be a concern. The Packers lost last week despite having a turnover advantage. It was a similar story vs. Tennessee, where they put up almost 400 yards of offense against a top team, out-gained them, and lost. Against the Falcons at home, the Pack put up over 400 yards of offense at home, out-gained Atlanta and lost. The Packers are just not making they key plays, or they are allowing the game winning plays, and it is hard to back a team like that. The Bears meanwhile have been in every game they have played. Their four losses have come by a combined 15 points, losing by 7, 3, 3 and 2 points. None of the losses have been to a sub-.500 team. The Packers offense is ranked just 19th, and the defense 21st. They haven't been able to stop the run, and are having difficulty running the ball themselves. Even if Orton plays here, I have to give Green Bay has the QB advantage. But, It is going to be around the freezing mark in Green Bay Sunday, and that means the running game becomes vital. The Bears have the advantage, and I'll take the points here.