2008 Season NFL Football Past Picks
October 05, 2008
This pick was released to clients on December 31, 1969 at 9:00PM ET.
Chicago at Detroit
Sunday 10/05 01:00 PM Eastern
2 units on Detroit +3.5 (-110) (risk 2 to return 2) RESULT: LOSS
The Lions caught their bye at a very good time. They started horribly and needed to regroup. They let go Matt Millen and all that baggage and look to start anew this week. The Lions are not a great team, but they aren't as bad as they have looked early on. They got down 21-0, 21-3 and 21-3 in their first three games and that changes everything. In games like that, the gameplan changes, the mindset changes and you don't get to execute to your plan. We haven't really seen the Lions yet in "normal" mode. The Bears have already played four tough games, and could be 4-0, but enter 2-2. It will be tough to match the intensity it took them to beat Philadelphia at home last week. For as much credit as the offense is getting, Kyle Orton has still thrown four picks to five TDs and Matt Forte is rushing for 3.8 ypc. Those are not impressive numbers. The defense has also allowed 20+ in each of the last three games. I really believe after four very tough games, with the toughest being last week, the Bears will be flat as a pancake and struggle here, especially on the road. The Lions had a chance to address some flaws. For the first time, they should get to execute a game plan, without having to abandon it after 15 minutes. I'll grab the home dog, well rested and prepared.