2021 Season NFL Football Past Picks
September 26, 2021
This pick was released to clients on September 24, 2021 at 6:19PM ET.
Chicago at Cleveland
Sunday 09/26 01:00 PM Eastern
1 unit on Chicago +7.5 (-110) (risk 1 to return 1.91) RESULT: LOSS
All the talk is on Bears' rookie QB Justin Fields getting his first NFL start, but don't ignore this exceptionally talented defense. We don't know how the mobile young QB will do, but we do know Chicago's great defense keeps them in games, and the are off of a 20-17 win over Cincinnati. The Bears are 53-31 ATS after scoring seven points or fewer in the first half in two consecutive games. Cleveland's defense isn't elite and hasn't played that way after two games. They are #22 in pass defense allowing 277 yards per game and #20 in points surrendered (27 per game). The Browns were in the role of favorite last week and failed to cover in a 31-21 win while allowing Houston to go 8-of-14 on third down. They're last in the NFL in third-down 'D' at 62.9%. NFL home teams that allowed 24+ points per game the previous season are 22-56 ATS after playing a game where 50 or more total points were scored. Play Chicago.