2009 Season NFL Football Past Picks

August 15, 2009

This pick was released to clients on December 31, 1969 at 9:00PM ET.

15

Chicago at Buffalo

Saturday 08/15 07:00 PM Eastern

3 units on Chicago +3 (-115) (risk 3 to return 3)  RESULT: LOSS

The Bills Dick Juaron has never placed any emphasis on these exhibition games whatsoever and his won/lost record certainly offers proof to that. Juaron is 12-20 in his preseason coaching career. It certainly makes it difficult to back the Bills in this spot as a favorite since they are only cashing 37.5% of the time straight up. Lovie Smith of the Bears has a winning record in his tenure in these games, so getting points here certainly looks to be the way to go. Preseason favorites coming off back-to-back average years (number of wins), like the Bills, have covered the spread at a rate of just 38%. In recent years it's gotten even worse as these teams are just 10-20 ATS over the past three seasons including 1-5 last year. I will grab the points and go with the Bears here.

FINAL SCORE
TEAM 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q FINAL
Bears 3 3 7 7 20
Bills 0 6 7 14 27

NFL

 

Last 20.4 years

Wins Losses Units
2443 2157 +189.24

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