In his career, Panthers placekicker Graham Gano has kicked 151 field goals with just 37 of them coming at 46+ yards. Thats an average of just 24.5%. His average field goal made is from a distance of 35.9 yards. Denvers Brandon McManus has kicked 8 career field goals of 46+ yards out of 39 total (20.5%). His average made field goal is 34.5 yards. So why do we feel that theres much of a chance of a 46+ yard field goal in this game? Out of 49 Super Bowls, there have only been 13 games with field goals of 45+ yards (26.5%). Fair odds on a 26.5% bet are -277. But has this changed recently? Maybe with the recent rule changes that favor offense, this percentage has gone up. Actually its just the opposite. Over the past 11 Super Bowls, only two have seen a field goal made at 45+ yards. Since Super Bowl 41, eight of nine Super Bowls have had the longest field goal come in UNDER 45 yards. So, we have kickers that kick 45+ yard field goals less than 25% of the time and a Super Bowl history that shows this rarely ever happens. Take the UNDER on this prop.
These picks were released to clients on February 01, 2016 at 5:06PM ET.
Carolina vs. Denver
February 7, 2016
2 units on Longest Field Goal UNDER 45.5 yards -115 (risk 2 to return 3.74)
Result:
WIN
WIN
1 unit on Denver +6 (-105) (risk 1 to return 1.95)
Result:
WIN
WIN
1 unit on Game Total OVER 44.5 -110 (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
2 units on First Quarter UNDER 9.5 -123 (risk 2 to return 3.62)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
2 units on Fourth Quarter OVER 10.5 -130 (risk 2 to return 3.54)
Result:
WIN
WIN
1.5 units on Highest-Scoring Quarter = 4th +175 (risk 1.5 to return 4.13)
Result:
WIN
WIN
2.5 units on Highest-Scoring Half = 2nd+OT -110 (risk 2.5 to return 4.77)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
2.5 units on Scoreless Quarter = NO -300 (risk 2.5 to return 3.33)
Result:
WIN
WIN
2 units on Team to Score First Wins the Game = YES -165 (risk 2 to return 3.21)
Result:
WIN
WIN
1.5 units on Longest Touchdown OVER 42.5 yards -105 (risk 1.5 to return 2.93)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
1.5 units on Either Team Scores 3 Unanswered = YES -165 (risk 1.5 to return 2.41)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
2 units on Total Field Goals UNDER 3.5 -120 (risk 2 to return 3.67)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
1.5 units on Total Penalties UNDER 12.5 -135 (risk 1.5 to return 2.61)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
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