2015 Season NFL Football Past Picks

February 07, 2016

This pick was released to clients on February 02, 2016 at 6:25PM ET.


Carolina vs. Denver

Sunday 02/07 06:30 PM Eastern

2 units on Total Field Goals UNDER 3.5 -120 (risk 2 to return 3.67)  RESULT: LOSS

In 2015, the average number of field goals per game was 3.26. Both of these teams averaged 1.88 field goals made per game. So this total is about right based on those numbers. But, this is not just any game. This is the big game and the Super Bowl is a different animal. Teams are generally less conservative overall in the big game when all is said and done. Its all or nothing. The coaches do not want to leave anything on the field. If a team is ahead, they dont want to give their opponent any chance of coming back. If a team is behind, they are not playing to keep it close they are playing to win the game. So, there are fewer field goals in the Super Bowl than in your average NFL game. Through the first 49 Super Bowls, there have only been 125 made field goals which comes to an average of 2.55 per game. In only 12 of the 49 games have more than three field goals been made! That comes to just 24.5% and fair odds on that are -308. Yet, we get -120 odds here. This bet should come through about 75% of the time. Take the UNDER on this prop.
Panthers 0 7 0 3 10
Broncos 10 3 3 8 24



Last 20.4 years

Wins Losses Units
2443 2157 +189.24

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