2009 Season NFL Football Past Picks
October 18, 2009
This pick was released to clients on December 31, 1969 at 9:00PM ET.
Carolina at Tampa Bay
Sunday 10/18 01:00 PM Eastern
3 units on Tampa Bay +3 (+115) (risk 3 to return 3) RESULT: LOSS
The Panthers, after a 12-4 season one year ago, have regressed into a bad team. They have one win on the season - a squeaker last week at home against a listless Washington. Carolina is 0-4 ATS on the year and yet somehow are instilled as a favorite for the second straight week. Granted, they are facing the winless Bucs who are still looking for their first win on the season. But, laying a field goal on the road is just not right here. The Panthers have been outscored 102-57 on the season! If you go back to last season, they finished 1-2 with the win coming by just 2 points. That means that they have not won a game by more than three points in their last seven outings. One of the losses a year ago was a complete dismantling by this Tampa Bay team 27-3 in Tampa. The Panthers can't get their running game going and that has put the onus on Jake Delhomme - and that hasn't been good. Delhomme has just three TD passes and eight INTs on the season. And this has come off his five-turnover performance in the Panthers playoff game last season. Tampa Bay was surprisingly able to get to Donovan McNabb last week recording three sacks. If they can apply the same pressure on Delhomme, we have seen what that can do. The Bucs may be facing their biggest opportunity to get in the win column in this one, as their next seven games are against difficult opponents. This is a winnable game for Raheem Morris and his team and I expect a big effort as a result. This season thus far has been one of the "haves" beating up big on the "have-nots." But what we have here is two "have-nots" so I'm taking the home team getting points.
|Tampa Bay BuccaneersBuccaneers||7||0||7||7||21|
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